One-year (2006) WRF model simulations performed at a European scale with 30 and 10 km horizontal resolutions are evaluated against ECMWF-IFS forecasts (both at 0.2° and 0.5° horizontal resolution). The comparison with the wind speed observations from around 1200 surface stations is performed using the DELTA software, developed in the framework of FAIRMODE. Generally, ECMWF forecasts are pretty good in terms of different statistical indices over most of the domain, while WRF model simulations are less skilful, producing a larger bias and RMSE. Then, the statistical indices are evaluated in some specific areas, i.e. near Berlin, which is one of the urban areas where the model performance is better, and in the Alpine area, where the model skill is very low. Some considerations about the interpretation of such results are finally provided.

Evaluation of WRF model performances in different European regions with the DELTA-FAIRMODE evaluation tool

Mario Marcello Miglietta;
2011

Abstract

One-year (2006) WRF model simulations performed at a European scale with 30 and 10 km horizontal resolutions are evaluated against ECMWF-IFS forecasts (both at 0.2° and 0.5° horizontal resolution). The comparison with the wind speed observations from around 1200 surface stations is performed using the DELTA software, developed in the framework of FAIRMODE. Generally, ECMWF forecasts are pretty good in terms of different statistical indices over most of the domain, while WRF model simulations are less skilful, producing a larger bias and RMSE. Then, the statistical indices are evaluated in some specific areas, i.e. near Berlin, which is one of the urban areas where the model performance is better, and in the Alpine area, where the model skill is very low. Some considerations about the interpretation of such results are finally provided.
2011
Istituto di Scienze dell'Atmosfera e del Clima - ISAC
Istituto di Ricerca sugli Ecosistemi Terrestri - IRET
Inglese
J.G. Bartzis, A. Syrakos and S. Andronopoulos
HARMO14: XIV International Conference on harmonisation within atmospheric dispersion modelling for regulatory purposes
288
292
University Of West Macedonia, Department of Mechanical Engineering, Environmental Technology Laboratory
kas
GRECIA
2-6 ottobre 2011
Kos, Grecia
ID_PUMA:/cnr.ise/2011-A2-001.Area di valutazione04 - Scienze della Terra
1
none
Mario Marcello Miglietta; Philippe Thunis; Anna Pederzoli; Emilia Georgieva; Bertrand Bessagnet; Etienne Terrenoire; Augustin Colette
273
info:eu-repo/semantics/conferenceObject
04 Contributo in convegno::04.01 Contributo in Atti di convegno
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14243/172824
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