In this work, we inspect the reliability of controlling and quelling an epidemic disease mimicked by a susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) model defined on a complex network by means of current and implementable quarantine and isolation policies. Specifically, we consider that each individual in the network is originally linked to individuals of two types: members of the same household and acquaintances. The topology of this network evolves, taking into account a probability q that aims at representing the quarantine or isolation process in which the connection with acquaintances is severed according to standard policies of control of epidemics. Within current policies of self-isolation and standard infection rates, our results show that the propagation is either only controllable for hypothetical rates of compliance or not controllable at all.
Probing into the effectiveness of self-isolation policies in epidemic control
2012
Abstract
In this work, we inspect the reliability of controlling and quelling an epidemic disease mimicked by a susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) model defined on a complex network by means of current and implementable quarantine and isolation policies. Specifically, we consider that each individual in the network is originally linked to individuals of two types: members of the same household and acquaintances. The topology of this network evolves, taking into account a probability q that aims at representing the quarantine or isolation process in which the connection with acquaintances is severed according to standard policies of control of epidemics. Within current policies of self-isolation and standard infection rates, our results show that the propagation is either only controllable for hypothetical rates of compliance or not controllable at all.I documenti in IRIS sono protetti da copyright e tutti i diritti sono riservati, salvo diversa indicazione.