One-year (2006) WRF model simulations performed at a European scale and ECMWF-IFS forecasts are compared with 10m wind speed and 2m temperature observations from around 1200 surface stations. A statistical evaluation on the modelled meteorological fields is performed using the DELTA software, developed in the framework of FAIRMODE, the forum for air quality modellers relevant to the application of the European Air Quality Directive. In terms of wind speed, ECMWF forecasts are pretty good over most of the domain, while WRF model simulations are less skillful, e.g. they show a larger bias and RMSE. Regarding 2m temperature, performance criteria are better satisfied by both modelling systems. Finally, the models' statistics are exemplified in a couple of specific areas: near Berlin, one of the urban areas showing a better model performance, and in the Alpine region, where the model skill is very poor.

Evaluation of WRF model performance in different European regions with the DELTA-FAIRMODE evaluation tool

2012

Abstract

One-year (2006) WRF model simulations performed at a European scale and ECMWF-IFS forecasts are compared with 10m wind speed and 2m temperature observations from around 1200 surface stations. A statistical evaluation on the modelled meteorological fields is performed using the DELTA software, developed in the framework of FAIRMODE, the forum for air quality modellers relevant to the application of the European Air Quality Directive. In terms of wind speed, ECMWF forecasts are pretty good over most of the domain, while WRF model simulations are less skillful, e.g. they show a larger bias and RMSE. Regarding 2m temperature, performance criteria are better satisfied by both modelling systems. Finally, the models' statistics are exemplified in a couple of specific areas: near Berlin, one of the urban areas showing a better model performance, and in the Alpine region, where the model skill is very poor.
2012
Istituto di Scienze dell'Atmosfera e del Clima - ISAC
Istituto di Ricerca sugli Ecosistemi Terrestri - IRET
Inglese
50
1-4
83
97
Meteorological models
FAIRMODE
Statistical scores
Evaluation tools
Numerical weather prediction
Model validation
Benchmarking
1
info:eu-repo/semantics/article
262
Mario Marcello Miglietta; Philippe Thunis; Emilia Georgieva; Anna Pederzoli; Bertrand Bessagnet; Etienne Terrenoire; Augustin Colette
01 Contributo su Rivista::01.01 Articolo in rivista
none
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14243/289971
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