Bayesian methods provide a natural framework for the analysis of data that become sequentially available, either for descriptive, predictive or prescriptive purposes. We discuss two applications that demonstrate this. The first one concerns warranty claim data of appliances in the field. A dynamic model for count data and particle filter methods are used for predicting the number of future claims. The second one concerns the monitoring of high-quality processes, where an out-of-control decision is taken based on the predictive distribution of time between events.

Applications of Bayesian analysis of stochastic processes

A Pievatolo
2016

Abstract

Bayesian methods provide a natural framework for the analysis of data that become sequentially available, either for descriptive, predictive or prescriptive purposes. We discuss two applications that demonstrate this. The first one concerns warranty claim data of appliances in the field. A dynamic model for count data and particle filter methods are used for predicting the number of future claims. The second one concerns the monitoring of high-quality processes, where an out-of-control decision is taken based on the predictive distribution of time between events.
2016
Istituto di Matematica Applicata e Tecnologie Informatiche - IMATI -
Warranty data
Log-Poisson process
Failure forecasting
Particle filtering
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14243/329454
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