Credit and liquidity shocks represent main channels of financial contagion for interbank lending markets. On one hand, banks face potential losses whenever their counterparties are under distress and thus unable to fulfill their obligations. On the other hand, solvency constraints may force banks to recover lost fundings by selling their illiquid assets, resulting in effective losses in the presence of fire sales - that is, when funding shortcomings are widespread over the market. Because of the complex structure of the network of interbank exposures, these losses reverberate among banks and eventually get amplified, with potentially catastrophic consequences for the whole financial system. Inspired by the recently proposed Debt Rank, in this work we define a systemic risk metric that estimates the potential amplification of losses in interbank markets accounting for both credit and liquidity contagion channels: the Debt-Solvency Rank. We implement this framework on a dataset of 183 European banks that were publicly traded between 2004 and 2013, showing indeed that liquidity spillovers substantially increase systemic risk, and thus cannot be neglected in stress-test scenarios. We also provide additional evidence that the interbank market was extremely fragile up to the global financial crisis, becoming slightly more robust only afterwards.

Entangling credit and funding shocks in interbank markets

Giulio Cimini;
2016

Abstract

Credit and liquidity shocks represent main channels of financial contagion for interbank lending markets. On one hand, banks face potential losses whenever their counterparties are under distress and thus unable to fulfill their obligations. On the other hand, solvency constraints may force banks to recover lost fundings by selling their illiquid assets, resulting in effective losses in the presence of fire sales - that is, when funding shortcomings are widespread over the market. Because of the complex structure of the network of interbank exposures, these losses reverberate among banks and eventually get amplified, with potentially catastrophic consequences for the whole financial system. Inspired by the recently proposed Debt Rank, in this work we define a systemic risk metric that estimates the potential amplification of losses in interbank markets accounting for both credit and liquidity contagion channels: the Debt-Solvency Rank. We implement this framework on a dataset of 183 European banks that were publicly traded between 2004 and 2013, showing indeed that liquidity spillovers substantially increase systemic risk, and thus cannot be neglected in stress-test scenarios. We also provide additional evidence that the interbank market was extremely fragile up to the global financial crisis, becoming slightly more robust only afterwards.
2016
Istituto dei Sistemi Complessi - ISC
Inglese
11
8
e0161642-1
e0161642-15
15
https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0161642
Sì, ma tipo non specificato
Debt Rank
systemic risk
interbank markets
financial crisis
Published: August 25, 2016.
2
info:eu-repo/semantics/article
262
Cimini, Giulio; Serri, Matteo
01 Contributo su Rivista::01.01 Articolo in rivista
open
   Foundational Research on MULTIlevel comPLEX networks and systems
   MULTIPLEX
   FP7
   317532

   GROWTH AND INNOVATION POLICY-MODELLING: APPLYING NEXT GENERATION TOOLS, DATA, AND ECONOMIC COMPLEXITY IDEAS
   GROWTHCOM
   FP7
   611272

   Financial Systems Simulation and Policy Modelling
   SIMPOL
   FP7
   610704

   Distributed Global Financial Systems for Society
   DOLFINS
   H2020
   640772
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14243/355454
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