We introduce a microscopic model for the dynamics of the order book to study how the lack of liquidity influences price fluctuations. We use the average density of the stored orders (granularity g) as a proxy for liquidity. This leads to a Price Impact Surface which depends on both volume ? and g. The dependence on the volume (averaged over the granularity) of the Price Impact Surface is found to be a concave power law function ?(?, g)g ? ?? with ? ? 0.59. Instead the dependence on the granularity is ?(?,g|?) ? g? with ? ? --1, showing a divergence of price fluctuations in the limit g ? 0. Moreover, even in intermediate situations of finite liquidity, this effect can be very large and it is a natural candidate for understanding the origin of large price fluctuations.

Liquidity crisis, granularity of the order book and price fluctuations

M Cristelli;L Pietronero;A Zaccaria
2010

Abstract

We introduce a microscopic model for the dynamics of the order book to study how the lack of liquidity influences price fluctuations. We use the average density of the stored orders (granularity g) as a proxy for liquidity. This leads to a Price Impact Surface which depends on both volume ? and g. The dependence on the volume (averaged over the granularity) of the Price Impact Surface is found to be a concave power law function ?(?, g)g ? ?? with ? ? 0.59. Instead the dependence on the granularity is ?(?,g|?) ? g? with ? ? --1, showing a divergence of price fluctuations in the limit g ? 0. Moreover, even in intermediate situations of finite liquidity, this effect can be very large and it is a natural candidate for understanding the origin of large price fluctuations.
2010
Istituto dei Sistemi Complessi - ISC
Eco
Financial markets
Business and management
Complex systems
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14243/35726
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