While vaccination is the optimal response to an epidemic, recent events have obliged us to explore new strategies for containing worldwide epidemics, like lockdown strategies, where the contacts among the population are strongly reduced in order to slow down the propagation of the infection. By analyzing a classical epidemic model, we explore the impact of lockdown strategies on the evolution of an epidemic. We show that repeated lockdowns have a benefcial efect, reducing the fnal size of the infection, and that they represent a possible support strategy to vaccination policies.

The mathematics of multiple lockdowns

Antonio Scala
2021

Abstract

While vaccination is the optimal response to an epidemic, recent events have obliged us to explore new strategies for containing worldwide epidemics, like lockdown strategies, where the contacts among the population are strongly reduced in order to slow down the propagation of the infection. By analyzing a classical epidemic model, we explore the impact of lockdown strategies on the evolution of an epidemic. We show that repeated lockdowns have a benefcial efect, reducing the fnal size of the infection, and that they represent a possible support strategy to vaccination policies.
2021
Istituto dei Sistemi Complessi - ISC
lockdown
covid19
mathematical epidemiology
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14243/398450
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