The aim of this note is to provide evidence about the existence or non-existence of a stochastic trend in the global temperatures time series by using standard unit root tests. Three sets of data are considered in this paper: global, Northern Hemisphere and Southern Hemisphere monthly temperature anomalies. Our main finding is that there is not a stochastic trend in the temperatures time series and they are stationary around a deterministic trend.

The nature of the trend in global and hemispheric temperatures

Pasini A
2021

Abstract

The aim of this note is to provide evidence about the existence or non-existence of a stochastic trend in the global temperatures time series by using standard unit root tests. Three sets of data are considered in this paper: global, Northern Hemisphere and Southern Hemisphere monthly temperature anomalies. Our main finding is that there is not a stochastic trend in the temperatures time series and they are stationary around a deterministic trend.
2021
Istituto sull'Inquinamento Atmosferico - IIA
deterministic trend
global warming
stochastic trend
temperature anomalies
time series
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14243/401783
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