After COVID-19 was first reported in China at the end of 2019, it took only a few months for this local crisis to turn into a global pandemic with unprecedented disruptions of everyday life. However, at any moment in time the situation in different parts of the world is far from uniform and each country follows its own epidemiological trajectory. In order to keep track of the course of the pandemic in many different places at the same time, it is vital to develop comparative visualizations that facilitate the recognition of common trends and divergent behaviors. Similarly, it is important to always focus on the information that is most relevant at any given point in time. In this study we look at exactly one year of daily numbers of new cases and deaths and present data visualizations that compare many different countries and are adapted to the overall stage of the pandemic. During the early stage when cases and deaths still rise we focus on the time lag relative to the current epicenter of the pandemic and the doubling times. Later we monitor the rise and fall of the daily numbers via wave detection plots. The transition between these two stages takes place when the daily numbers stop rising for the first time.

Comparative visualization of epidemiological data during various stages of a pandemic

Thomas Kreuz
2021

Abstract

After COVID-19 was first reported in China at the end of 2019, it took only a few months for this local crisis to turn into a global pandemic with unprecedented disruptions of everyday life. However, at any moment in time the situation in different parts of the world is far from uniform and each country follows its own epidemiological trajectory. In order to keep track of the course of the pandemic in many different places at the same time, it is vital to develop comparative visualizations that facilitate the recognition of common trends and divergent behaviors. Similarly, it is important to always focus on the information that is most relevant at any given point in time. In this study we look at exactly one year of daily numbers of new cases and deaths and present data visualizations that compare many different countries and are adapted to the overall stage of the pandemic. During the early stage when cases and deaths still rise we focus on the time lag relative to the current epicenter of the pandemic and the doubling times. Later we monitor the rise and fall of the daily numbers via wave detection plots. The transition between these two stages takes place when the daily numbers stop rising for the first time.
2021
Covid
Epidemia
Data Analysis
Visualization
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14243/463763
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