The Montserrat-2000 severe flash flood event which occurred over Catalonia on 9 and 10 June 2000 is analyzed. Strong precipitation was generated by a mesoscale convective system associated with the development of a cyclone. The location of heavy precipitation depends on the position of the cyclone, which, in turn, is found to be very sensitive to various model characteristics and initial conditions. Numerical simulations of this case study using the hydrostatic BOLAM and the non-hydrostatic MOLOCH models are performed in order to test the effects of different formulations of the boundary layer parameterization: a modified version of the Louis (order 1) model and a custom version of the E-l (order 1.5) model. Both of them require a diagnostic formulation of the mixing length, but the use of the turbulent kinetic energy equation in the E-l model allows to represent
Sensitivity of quantitative precipitation forecasts to boundary layer parameterization: a flash flood case study in theWestern Mediterranean
A Buzzi
2005
Abstract
The Montserrat-2000 severe flash flood event which occurred over Catalonia on 9 and 10 June 2000 is analyzed. Strong precipitation was generated by a mesoscale convective system associated with the development of a cyclone. The location of heavy precipitation depends on the position of the cyclone, which, in turn, is found to be very sensitive to various model characteristics and initial conditions. Numerical simulations of this case study using the hydrostatic BOLAM and the non-hydrostatic MOLOCH models are performed in order to test the effects of different formulations of the boundary layer parameterization: a modified version of the Louis (order 1) model and a custom version of the E-l (order 1.5) model. Both of them require a diagnostic formulation of the mixing length, but the use of the turbulent kinetic energy equation in the E-l model allows to representI documenti in IRIS sono protetti da copyright e tutti i diritti sono riservati, salvo diversa indicazione.