Setting an environmental flow regime under climate change in a data-limited Mediterranean basin with temporary river

Mediterranean waterways are commonly non-perennial; they are vulnerable to climate change (CC). Their management is particularly complex due to limited data availability. This work aims to develop a methodology for setting an Environmental Flow regime (E-Flows) for a temporary river (Locone, Italy) under limited data availability and under CC. As observed long-term time series of streamflow under natural conditions were not available, the Soil and Water Assessment Tool model (SWAT+) was applied to simulate the daily streamflow for the baseline period (1980–2010) and future (2020–2050) based on observed and model climate projections, respectively. A specific workflow was developed for model calibration focusing on the low flows. The hydrological regime was characterized by means of Indicators of Hydrological Alteration (IHAs), whereas the Range of Variability Approach (RVA) was applied to define the E-Flows.