Assessing changes in global fire regimes

Sayedi, S. S.; Abbott, B. W.; Vanniere, B.; Leys, B.; Colombaroli, D.; Romera, G. G.; Slowinski, M.; Aleman, J. C.; Blarquez, O.; Feurdean, A.; Brown, K.; Aakala, T.; Alenius, T.; Allen, K.; Andric, M.; Bergeron, Y.; Biagioni, S.; Bradshaw, R.; Bremond, L.; Brisset, E.; Brooks, J.; Brugger, S. O.; Brussel, T.; Cadd, H.; Cagliero, E.; Carcaillet, C.; Carter, V.; Catry, F. X.; Champreux, A.; Chaste, E.; Chavardes, R. D.; Chipman, M.; Conedera, M.; Connor, S.; Constantine, M.; Courtney Mustaphi, C.; Dabengwa, A. N.; Daniels, W.; De Boer, E.; Dietze, E.; Estrany, J.; Fernandes, P.; Finsinger, W.; Flantua, S. G. A.; Fox-Hughes, P.; Gaboriau, D. M.; M. Gayo E.,; Girardin, M. P.; Glenn, J.; Gluckler, R.; Gonzalez-Arango, C.; Groves, M.; Hamilton, D. S.; Hamilton, R. J.; Hantson, S.; Hapsari, K. A.; Hardiman, M.; Hawthorne, D.; Hoffman, K.; Inoue, J.; Karp, A. T.; Krebs, P.; Kulkarni, C.; Kuosmanen, N.; Lacourse, T.; Ledru, M. -P.; Lestienne, M.; Long, C.; Lopez-Saez, J. A.; Loughlin, N.; Niklasson, M.; Madrigal, J.; Maezumi, S. Y.; Marcisz, K.; Mariani, M.; Mcwethy, D.; Meyer, G.; Molinari, C.; Montoya, E.; Mooney, S.; Morales-Molino, C.; Morris, J.; Moss, P.; Oliveras, I.; Pereira, J. M.; Pezzatti, G. B.; Pickarski, N.; Pini, R.; Rehn, E.; Remy, C. C.; Revelles, J.; Rius, D.; Robin, V.; Ruan, Y.; Rudaya, N.; Russell-Smith, J.; Seppa, H.; Shumilovskikh, L.; T. Sommers W.,; Tavsanoglu, C.; Umbanhowar, C.; Urquiaga, E.; Urrego, D.; Vachula, R. S.; Wallenius, T.; You, C.; Daniau, A. -L.

doi:10.1186/s42408-023-00237-9

The global human footprint has fundamentally altered wildfire regimes, creating serious consequences for human health, biodiversity, and climate. However, it remains difficult to project how long-term interactions among land use, management, and climate change will affect fire behavior, representing a key knowledge gap for sustainable management. We used expert assessment to combine opinions about past and future fire regimes from 99 wildfire researchers. We asked for quantitative and qualitative assessments of the frequency, type, and implications of fire regime change from the beginning of the Holocene through the year 2300.