We analyse the storm that hit the Ligurian Sea in the afternoon of 29 October 2018. Although not a historical extreme, the event was unique in itself for the superposition of an explosive cyclogenesis on a preexisting southerly flow. Combined with the general meteorological pattern, this led in the range of a few hours to quite different, similarly severe wind and wave conditions. The storm has been analysed using both the models of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and a nested WRF + WW3 one. The orography of Corsica has been instrumental in shaping the local fields. The storm, and in particular the cyclogenesis, were well forecast. However, as evidenced especially by the different ensemble members, minor differences in the position of the minimum could lead to substantial differences at specific locations, also where major damages were reported.

The 29 October 2018 storm in Northern Italy: Its multiple actions in the Ligurian Sea

Cavaleri L.;Barbariol F.;Bertotti L.;
2022

Abstract

We analyse the storm that hit the Ligurian Sea in the afternoon of 29 October 2018. Although not a historical extreme, the event was unique in itself for the superposition of an explosive cyclogenesis on a preexisting southerly flow. Combined with the general meteorological pattern, this led in the range of a few hours to quite different, similarly severe wind and wave conditions. The storm has been analysed using both the models of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and a nested WRF + WW3 one. The orography of Corsica has been instrumental in shaping the local fields. The storm, and in particular the cyclogenesis, were well forecast. However, as evidenced especially by the different ensemble members, minor differences in the position of the minimum could lead to substantial differences at specific locations, also where major damages were reported.
2022
Istituto di Scienze Marine - ISMAR
Coastal effects
Critical role of forecast details
Cross-sea conditions
Ensemble members
Explosive cyclogenesis
Wave modelling
Wind modelling
File in questo prodotto:
File Dimensione Formato  
CAVALERI_et_al_2022_ligurian_Sea_2018.pdf

solo utenti autorizzati

Tipologia: Versione Editoriale (PDF)
Licenza: Altro tipo di licenza
Dimensione 19.28 MB
Formato Adobe PDF
19.28 MB Adobe PDF   Visualizza/Apri   Richiedi una copia

I documenti in IRIS sono protetti da copyright e tutti i diritti sono riservati, salvo diversa indicazione.

Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14243/521549
Citazioni
  • ???jsp.display-item.citation.pmc??? ND
  • Scopus 10
  • ???jsp.display-item.citation.isi??? 8
social impact