Optimizing surgical decisions in breast cancer is critical. Choosing between mastectomy and breast-conserving surgery (BCS) is complex due to heterogeneous pre-operative clinical factors. We developed BrCaM (Breast Cancer Model), a machine learning–based Clinical Prediction Model designed to analyze pre-operative surgical decision patterns. A dataset of 5100 patients (age range: 18–96 years) treated at a Breast Unit with standardized protocols was used. Surgeon-guided feature selection and an end-to-end machine learning pipeline were implemented. Multiple algorithms were evaluated; AdaBoost performed best using 10-fold cross-validation. BrCaM achieved an overall accuracy of 95% in distinguishing BCS from mastectomy. Feature selection identified clinically meaningful predictors that reflect established criteria influencing surgical decisions. In this retrospective setting, BrCaM captures real-world surgical decision patterns based on clinical factors. These findings support the consistency of current clinical practice and provide a foundation for future prospective validation as a clinical decision-support adjunct.

BrCaM an artificial intelligence model for surgical decision making in breast cancer

Daniela Evangelista
;
Monica Franzese;
2026

Abstract

Optimizing surgical decisions in breast cancer is critical. Choosing between mastectomy and breast-conserving surgery (BCS) is complex due to heterogeneous pre-operative clinical factors. We developed BrCaM (Breast Cancer Model), a machine learning–based Clinical Prediction Model designed to analyze pre-operative surgical decision patterns. A dataset of 5100 patients (age range: 18–96 years) treated at a Breast Unit with standardized protocols was used. Surgeon-guided feature selection and an end-to-end machine learning pipeline were implemented. Multiple algorithms were evaluated; AdaBoost performed best using 10-fold cross-validation. BrCaM achieved an overall accuracy of 95% in distinguishing BCS from mastectomy. Feature selection identified clinically meaningful predictors that reflect established criteria influencing surgical decisions. In this retrospective setting, BrCaM captures real-world surgical decision patterns based on clinical factors. These findings support the consistency of current clinical practice and provide a foundation for future prospective validation as a clinical decision-support adjunct.
2026
Istituto di Scienze dell'Alimentazione - ISA
Breast cancer
Breast conserving surgery (BCS)
Clinical prediction models (CPM)
Machine learning
Mastectomy
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Descrizione: Optimizing surgical decisions in breast cancer is critical. Choosing between mastectomy and breast- conserving surgery (BCS) is complex due to heterogeneous pre-operative clinical factors. We developed BrCaM (Breast Cancer Model), a machine learning–based Clinical Prediction Model designed to analyze pre-operative surgical decision patterns. A dataset of 5100 patients (age range: 18–96 years) treated at a Breast Unit with standardized protocols was used. Surgeon-guided feature selection and an end-to-end machine learning pipeline were implemented. Multiple algorithms were evaluated; AdaBoost performed best using 10-fold cross-validation. BrCaM achieved an overall accuracy of 95% in distinguishing BCS from mastectomy. Feature selection identified clinically meaningful predictors that reflect established criteria influencing surgical decisions. In this retrospective setting, BrCaM captures real-world surgical decision patterns based on clinical factors. These findings support the consistency of current clinical practice and provide a foundation for future prospective validation as a clinical decision- support adjunct.
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14243/582652
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