The close relationships between anthropogenic activities and the environment require a careful analysis of economic and technological implication of energy-climate policies, to redirect the energy systems towards a configuration that harmonizes resources use, economic development and environmental protection. This implies the implementation of innovative decisional tools for policy assessment, to support the policy makers in the definition of sustainable energy-environmental strategies, assuring their consistency at different spatial scales. Important advances have been made in the ability to analyse global, national and local issues and to support the formulation of policies using comprehensive partial equilibrium models as the TIMES models generator, developed under the IEA-ETSAP Programme. This tool is being utilized in the framework of the Integrated Project "New Energy Externalities Developments for Sustainability" NEEDS financed by the EU Commission in the VI Framework Programme (Priority 6.1: Sustainable Energy Systems, Sub-priority 6.1.3.2.5: Socio-economic tools and concepts for energy strategy). Its main objective is to develop the energy system models of 29 EU countries, which are linked by energy and emissions trades in a multiregional approach implementing them into a unique modeling platform, the EU NEEDS TIMES model. These models include the techno-economic and environmental information necessary to characterize the long term development of energy systems, as well as data coming from LCA and ExternE. The aim is to implement an integrated modeling platform for the assessment of energy and environmental policies both at the level of individual countries and for the enlarged EU as a whole, allowing the evaluation of the full costs and benefits of the European energy system under different system's boundaries. We are presenting some results obtained at country level (equilibrium quantities of energy vectors, energy technologies and emissions) concerning the Business As Usual - BAU scenario that provides the optimised development of the energy system, considering the demand projections trends obtained by the GEM-E3 Europe (using the DGTREN 2005 data as key drivers) and the main national energy and environmental policies.
Modelling national energy systems: a comprehensive assessment using the NEEDS-TIMES model
Cosmi C;Di Leo S;Loperte S;Pietrapertosa F;Salvia M;
2007
Abstract
The close relationships between anthropogenic activities and the environment require a careful analysis of economic and technological implication of energy-climate policies, to redirect the energy systems towards a configuration that harmonizes resources use, economic development and environmental protection. This implies the implementation of innovative decisional tools for policy assessment, to support the policy makers in the definition of sustainable energy-environmental strategies, assuring their consistency at different spatial scales. Important advances have been made in the ability to analyse global, national and local issues and to support the formulation of policies using comprehensive partial equilibrium models as the TIMES models generator, developed under the IEA-ETSAP Programme. This tool is being utilized in the framework of the Integrated Project "New Energy Externalities Developments for Sustainability" NEEDS financed by the EU Commission in the VI Framework Programme (Priority 6.1: Sustainable Energy Systems, Sub-priority 6.1.3.2.5: Socio-economic tools and concepts for energy strategy). Its main objective is to develop the energy system models of 29 EU countries, which are linked by energy and emissions trades in a multiregional approach implementing them into a unique modeling platform, the EU NEEDS TIMES model. These models include the techno-economic and environmental information necessary to characterize the long term development of energy systems, as well as data coming from LCA and ExternE. The aim is to implement an integrated modeling platform for the assessment of energy and environmental policies both at the level of individual countries and for the enlarged EU as a whole, allowing the evaluation of the full costs and benefits of the European energy system under different system's boundaries. We are presenting some results obtained at country level (equilibrium quantities of energy vectors, energy technologies and emissions) concerning the Business As Usual - BAU scenario that provides the optimised development of the energy system, considering the demand projections trends obtained by the GEM-E3 Europe (using the DGTREN 2005 data as key drivers) and the main national energy and environmental policies.I documenti in IRIS sono protetti da copyright e tutti i diritti sono riservati, salvo diversa indicazione.
